The Brexit Blog

The Brexit Blog
News and comment on the Brexit process, as Britain leaves the EU.

Thursday, 29 June 2017

The EU To Weaponise Victor Meldrew


Just how many Brits are there living in the EU?

Taking Spain as an example, the ONS reports that the population of British citizens resident in Spain was 296,600 in 2016. Within this figure 121,000 (40%) British residents in Spain were aged 65 and over in 2016; this number has more than doubled since 2006.

Whereas there were 116,000 Spanish citizens resident in the UK in 2013 to 2015.

This means, as the ONS helpfully points out, that there are over twice as many Brits living in Spain as there are Spanish people in the UK.

At this point I would remind Theresa May and David Davis that if we don't sort out the rights of EU citizens in the UK to everyone's satisfaction, we will be inundated with hundreds of thousands of "Victor Meldrews" returning to these shores, without accommodation, in declining health and in a very grumpy frame of mind!

Tuesday, 27 June 2017

The EU's Judicial Imperialism


Monday, 26 June 2017

Plan For EU Nationals' Rights In The UK


Theresa May will this afternoon set out plans to give “settled status” to EU citizens living in the UK post-Brexit.

The Prime Minister will publish a 15-page document which will outline how the Government will protect the future rights of the 3.2 million EU nationals who live in Britain.

Friday, 23 June 2017

Happy Brexit Anniversary?


On the first anniversary of the Brexit vote, EU leaders have described the UK’s opening offer to protect EU citizens’ rights as vague and inadequate, suggesting the British government needs to go further.

Jean-Claude Juncker, the president of the European commission, struck a dismissive note as he arrived at an EU leaders’ summit on Friday. As per the Guardian:
That is a first step but this step is not sufficient.
Asked whether he was any clearer about the kind of Brexit the UK wants, he was equally blunt:
No.”
It's going to be a very long few years!

Thursday, 22 June 2017

Theresa May In The Belly of The Beast


Theresa May flies to Brussels today, where she will hold talks on Brexit with EU leaders for the first time since losing her majority at the general election.

It is expected that she will set out her plans to give EU citizens in the UK the same rights as Brits.

Tuesday, 20 June 2017

Hammond Speaks


Monday, 19 June 2017

Brexit Negotiations Start Today


The long journey towards Brexit officially begins today, when David Davies commences Brexit negotiations in Brussels this morning.

Britain will leave the EU by the end of March 2019.

Sunday, 18 June 2017

Kicking Off On Monday

Friday, 16 June 2017

Brexit Talks Start 19th June


The UK has finally confirmed that Brexit talks will begin on Monday 19th June.

However, but unsurprisingly, the UK has not forwarded any papers to Brussels outlining its opening position.

Thursday, 15 June 2017

EU Nationals' Rights To Be Guaranteed

The UK will tell Brussels next week that it will guarantee EU nationals living in Britain the rights they currently have, and aim to treat them “as fairly as they have been to this point”.

Whilst Britain wants the cut-off point for citizens’ rights to be March 29 this year, when the UK notified its intention to leave the EU, it is expected to accede to EU demands that the date should be Brexit day itself in 2019.

This is the state of play according to the FT and, assuming the UK doesn't have a change of government before next week, is likely to be the starting point for the long process of Brexit negotiations.

Wednesday, 14 June 2017

"Clean Brexit" Added To The Lexicon


Clean, soft, hard such a choice!

It's almost as though no one knows what they want or how to achieve it!

Tuesday, 13 June 2017

Barnier Trolls The UK


Michel Barnier, the EU's Brexit negotiator, has trolled the UK by reminding everyone that:
"I can't negotiate with myself"
Fear not Mr Barnier, the UK will probably ask you stand in for it whilst it gets its act together!

Monday, 12 June 2017

Delay To Brexit Negotiations? Quelle Surprise!

Friday, 9 June 2017

Tusk Nails It - Can't See The Beginning, But Can See The End!

Weak and Unstable Government Batting For Britain


In case anyone has forgotten, Brexit negotiations are scheduled to begin on the 19th of June.

Britain will be on the back foot thanks to the weak and unstable government bestowed to the country by Theresa May!

Tuesday, 30 May 2017

Arrogance of Remain Campaign Exposed

Friday, 19 May 2017

Out of The Union and The Market


Thursday, 18 May 2017

Brexit Bill Between £5BN and £30BN


A study conducted by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales looked at the “main components” of the likely bill for the UK when it leaves the EU in March 2019.

Taking into account rebates owed to the UK, EU spending commitments and other costs it came up with three “next exit charges”:

- a “low scenario” of £5billion,
- a “central scenario” of £15billion and
- a “high scenario” of £30billion.

Well then, plenty of wiggle room there!

Tuesday, 16 May 2017

Remoaner of The Year - Tim Farron


Apparently, the Liberal Democrats think that this is an accolade!

Monday, 15 May 2017

David Davis Plans The Arguments Ahead


David Davis is looking ahead to Brexit negotiations and, having rejected the timetable proposed by Brussels, has drawn up a schedule of when he wants certain "arguments" to take place.

The result being that the first argument will be one about what to argue about!

What with the general election etc, a cynic might wonder if the government is trying to avoid Brexit negotiations.

Surely not!?

That aside, Davis did make one valid point; namely that there would be little progress in Brexit negotiations during the summer months, as it was the “least useful time in dealing with Brussels”.
 

Friday, 12 May 2017

Is David Davis Now Unsackable?



Brexit minister David Davis said that European Union leaders in Brussels were trying to get him sacked, after critical accounts of a meeting between British and EU negotiators were leaked to media.

As per Reuters:

All these stories are briefing against me trying to get me sacked - which of course is a compliment.

If they don’t want me across the table, there is a reason for that – it is in Britain’s interests, not theirs.”

A cynic might suggest that this is an attempt by Davis to make himself unsackable....but only a cynic would think such things!

Wednesday, 10 May 2017

France Bans Le Fake News En Anglais


Tuesday, 9 May 2017

Happy Europe Day!


Despite sniping from certain elderly drunken dinner guests from Brussels, the British are well mannered enough to fly the flags of the nation states who belong to the EU today in Parliament Square (next to the mother of all parliaments).

Happy Europe Day!

Monday, 8 May 2017

Britain Gives EU Lesson In Politeness

The EU Hates Democracy


Varoufakis is correct, the EU does hate democracy.

However, there will be a negotiation even if it ends with the UK walking away and stopping its EU payments.

Sunday, 7 May 2017

Britain Braced For War


The British government has called in William Ury, an international war negotiator, to counter growing hostility between Brussels and London over Brexit.

The Telegraph reports that he played a key role in ending the seemingly intractable 52 year-long war in Colombia

Friday, 5 May 2017

Thursday, 4 May 2017

Theresa May Shoots Back



Not unsurprisingly Theresa May shot back at the absurd guff emanating from various "leading characters" in Brussels.

The gloves are now publicly off, and Britain will if pushed into a corner use the nuclear option of stopping membership payments and exiting immediately.

Wednesday, 3 May 2017

Barnier Threatens War!

Brussels Brexit Spin Machine Goes Into Overdrive



Don't believe the hype coming from Brussels, this media avalanche is the EU's style of "negotiation".

It will fail, but it will improve Theresa May's standing in the General Election.

Tuesday, 2 May 2017

Guess Who's Coming To Dinner?


By all accounts, if we are to believe the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Theresa May's dinner with Juncker last week was a tad "testy".

It seems that May did not say things that the EU wanted to hear, as such the EU's version of the evening was leaked to the FAZ (as is the norm for the Gnomes of Brussels when people, or countries, do things that the Gnomes don't like).

The fact is, Theresa May knew full well that it would leak and played her hand accordingly. Juncker and the EU may well be puffing themselves up with wounded pride about May's stance (eg wanting to sort out the status and rights of EU citizens by June) but like it or not that is the stance she is going to take. The EU can reject it at its peril.

Friday, 28 April 2017

The EU Does Irony!


I am sure that the EU gets the irony of its criticism of Le Pen for possible dodgy finances, given that the EU itself doesn't have a set of accounts that the auditors are prepared to sign off!

Thursday, 27 April 2017

Merkel's Doubts About Ease of Brexit

Merkel told the Bundestag this morning that Britain has illusions about the ease of Brexit.

As per Business Insider UK:
"I have to put it in such clear terms because, unfortunately, I have the feeling that some in Britain still have illusions, but that would be a waste of time.

We can only have an agreement on the future relationship with Britain when all questions about its exit have been cleared up satisfactorily. A third state, and that's what Britain will be, cannot and will not have at its disposal the same rights ... as members of the European Union."
To her credit, she also noted that it would not be easy for the EU either:
"The exit negotiations will definitely demand a great deal of the European Union as well as Britain itself in the two years. I think that is completely beyond doubt."
It will be a long two years. However, if people keep their heads the outcome can be satisfactory for both Britain and the EU.

Brexit Is So Passé!

Wednesday, 26 April 2017

Britain's Euro17BN Brexit Fee


The Telegraph reports that Britain will have to pay into the EU budget up until 2020 if it wants Europe to grant the UK reasonable terms on a Brexit transition deal.

The "Brexit fee" is estimated to be around Eruo17BN.

All very fine and dandy if it guarantees a "respectable" deal, and if there are some audited accounts on which to base that Brexit fee!

Tuesday, 25 April 2017

Labour To Guarantee Rights of EU Citizens, Before Agreeing Rights of Expat Brits

Labour Admits Rules Will Have to Change

Friday, 21 April 2017

Britain The Freeest Of Them All - No ID Cards!

Wednesday, 19 April 2017

Theresa May Gets Her Ducks In a Row


By calling a snap election for June 8th, and with the expectation of an enhanced majority and authority, Theresa May is getting her ducks in a row for the forthcoming Brexit negotiations

Tuesday, 11 April 2017

London Post Brexit

Wednesday, 5 April 2017

Farage Compares EU To The Mafia

Juncker Loves The Brits

Is The EU Sensible? - Discuss

Monday, 3 April 2017

Meanwhile In Spain...

Sunday, 2 April 2017

Support For Gibraltar Solid As The Rock


Boris Johnson has stood by Gibraltar, saying:
"Gibraltar is not for sale.

Gibraltar cannot be traded. 

Gibraltar will not be bargained away."

EU's Response To Brexit

The EU's response to Brexit can be read here:

Draft guidelines following the United Kingdom's notification under Article  50

Interestingly they allow for parallel negotiations of both Brexit and future trade arrangements (once progress has been made on Brexit negotiations). 

Thursday, 30 March 2017

The Great Repeal Bill


Thousands of EU laws on everything from workers' rights to the environment are to be scrapped or replaced with UK equivalents in a new plan.

Details of the planned Great Repeal Bill are to be published today.

Ministers need to "copy and paste" EU laws into UK law to avoid a legal "black hole" when Brexit happens.

Let's see how ell this goes then!

Statement on Legislating for The UK's Withdrawal From The EU

Secretary of State for Exiting the EU, David Davis, is to make a statement in the House of Commons on 30 March 2017 on legislating for the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union

The statement is expected to start at 11.30am following the Business Question to the Leader of the House.

Timings are approximate as Parliamentary business is subject to change.
Transcripts of proceedings in the House of Commons Chamber are available in Hansard online three hours after they happen.

Wednesday, 29 March 2017

Full Text of Theresa May's Brexit Letter

Full text of Brexit letter:

Theresa May's Letter To Donald Tusk

European Parliament Draft Response To Brexit Letter


Read the full text here.

Ironically, Theresa May's letter has not yet been leaked.

#BrexitDay May Signs Brexit Letter- Article 50 Triggered


Theresa May has signed the letter that will formally begin the UK's departure from the European Union.

Giving official notice under Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, it will be delivered to European Council president Donald Tusk at 12:30 BST on Wednesday by the British ambassador to the EU, Sir Tim Barrow.

March 2019 is the deadline for concluding negotiations.

Whether you are a Remainer or Brexiter, when we come to the end of the Brexit process we will be in a position (wrt international relations, trade etc) that neither Brexiter nor Remainer can accurately predict.

Let us therefore brace ourselves for the task in hand, knowing that for good or ill we who live in the United Kingdom are all in this together.

That means Brits, Europeans and non Europeans who reside in these islands should stand and work together for the best possible outcome and not be divided by past disagreements.

Tuesday, 28 March 2017

The Brexit Collection

Sunday, 26 March 2017

The Union Matters More Than Brexit


The Telegraph reports that a Whitehall shake-up is underway to make sure that saving the Union from Scottish independence is at the heart of Brexit negotiations.

Philip Rycroft (the country’s most senior civil servant head of the UK Governance Group - tasked with defending the UK - will move into the Brexit Department), will scrutinise every Brexit decision to make sure it does not undermine the Union.

All very well and dandy, but at some stage a there will be a conflict between Brexit needs and Union needs.

Which takes precedence?

Carswell Calls Time on UKIP

 

Douglas Carswell is quitting UKIP to become an independent MP, claiming that UKIP has now done its job.

Unsurprisingly UKIP don't see it that way.


Will this impact Brexit, in any meanuingful way?

NO!

Thursday, 23 March 2017

Scottish Vote Suspended Until Next Tuesday

Wednesday, 22 March 2017

New York Isn't Europe

Bloomberg reports that Xavier Rolet, the head of the LSE, has said that the UK’s decision to leave the European Union could push the clearing of euro-denominated financial products and 100,000 jobs to New York:
The London Stock Exchange Group via the London Clearing House operates a very successful clearing business and is currently licensed to operate in for example, in what I believe could be frankly the only logical alternative to London, if that came to pass, and that is the New York market.

All very well and nice, except that New York isn't Europe!

Tuesday, 21 March 2017

#EU27 Summit April 29th

John Redwood Offers To Balance Biased BBC

Juncker's Table Manners Are Offensive


Jean-Claude Juncker displayed in one sentence why the EU is doomed:
“the choice to eat what’s on the table or not come to the table at all”.
Farewell Jean, enjoy eating on your own!

Monday, 20 March 2017

Early Birthday Gift for Lord Tebbit


Apparently it is also John Major's birthday on that day!

Brexit Day Wednesday 29th March

A50 Trigger Day - 22nd or 29th?


Parliament's Huge Brexit Burden


Apparently Brexit is set to place a "huge burden" on Parliament.

Parliament might have to scrutinise up to 15 new bills to deliver Brexit, leaving little time for other legislation, the Institute for Government has warned.

Seemingly the introduction of 15 Brexit bills before the UK even exits the EU "will leave very little space for non-Brexit related legislation".

That surely is good news, given that the less that MPs fart around with domestic legislation the less they mess with people's lives!

Thursday, 16 March 2017

Queen To Give Royal Assent To Brexit Bill

The Queen will sign the Article 50 Bill into law today, clearing the way for Theresa May to formally start talks to leave the European Union.

Sweden Leads The Way on Brexit Planning


Well done Sweden!

"Since no solution can be identified that would mean that the flow of goods could flow as smoothly as today, it is a question of minimising and mitigating the negative effects of the UK's exit. From a business perspective, it is crucial to shorten as far as possible the period during which there is uncertainty about what will apply."

Wednesday, 15 March 2017

No Deal Better Than Bad Deal!


Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Brexit Full Steam Ahead


Both Houses of Parliament cleared the way for Brexit yesterday, giving Theresa May the right o invoke Article 50 as and when she wants.

As already noted on this site, May will eschew the Ides of March and opt for triggering Brexit at the end of March.

The shenanigans of Nicola Sturgeon, who has decided to call another Scottish independence referendum (despite losing the last one in September 2014), will not interfere with Brexit. May has, as I noted yesterday, decided to veto any referendum until after Brexit has been negotiated. Thus shooting Sturgeon's fox!

Monday, 13 March 2017

WTO Brexit 50-50 Chance

Its seems that there is a 50-50 chance of a WTO Brexit.

Sturgeon Plays Silly Games


Despite the fact that the Article 50 bill is expected to be voted through both Houses today, Nicola Sturgeon is doing her best to screw things up.

The Telegraph reports that Sturgeon will make a key speech on the future of the union this morning in which she is expected to demand a special EU deal for Scotland.

Sturgeon could also use the event to announce her preferred date for a second Scottish independence referendum.

This is of course an irrlevance, as Theresa May will simply veto any referendum during the Brexit negotiations.

However, all is not lost for Sturgeon, she has the support of Jeremy Corbyn (the kiss of death if ever there was one!).

Sunday, 12 March 2017

Beware The Ides of March

It seems that Theresa May is shying away from triggering Brexit on the 15th, lest the Ides of March curse her and Brexit.

Thursday, 9 March 2017

The "Brexit" Budget


Philip Hammond allowed yesterday's Budget to be hyped across the media, before he rose to his feet, as being the "Brexit Budget".

However, when he finished speaking and sat down, it was all too apparent the Budget was nothing more than tinkering and increasing taxes on the self employed.

Whither the Brexit aspects of the Budget?

Methinks the government has yet to get its bearings wrt Brexit.

However, former Chancellor George Osborne (who warned of financial calamity if we voted Brexit) isn't too worried; as he is raking in £650K per annum from BlackRock, for just 36 days' work, giving insights on the 'global economy'.

Wednesday, 8 March 2017

May's Swift Revenge - Heseltine Sacked


Former Conservative Deputy Prime Minister Lord Heseltine has been sacked as a government adviser after rebelling over Brexit in the House of Lords.

Lord Heseltine backed the demand for a parliamentary vote on the final deal to be written into Brexit legislation.

The BBC reports that Heseltine learned hours later on Tuesday that he had been fired from five government advisory roles he had held.

Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned. No matter, he has never met her anyway.

Tuesday, 7 March 2017

Back To The Future - Empire 2.0

 
UK officials are planning a return to privileged trade with former British colonies in an attempt to replace the agreements which will be lost with Brexit, a project aka ‘Empire 2.0’.

Trade Minister Liam Fox will kick off by trying to recreate special free trade relations with New Zealand, Canada, Australia and a variety of African nations (ie the Commonwealth).

Members of the Commonwealth (the 52-nation network) will meet in London on Thursday and Friday and officials will launch a charm offensive in a bid to replace the EU.

As one door closes, so another opens!

Sunday, 5 March 2017

The £60BN Brexit Fee

Benn On Brexit

Ministers Urged To Protect Rights of EU Citizens

The UK should make a unilateral decision to safeguard the rights of EU nationals living in the UK, according to a cross-party group of MPs.

They say EU citizens who contribute to the UK economy should not be forced to live "under a cloud of uncertainty".

Members of the Exiting the EU committee also want healthcare and pension rights for UK expats living overseas.

The government says it wants to guarantee the rights of EU citizens and British nationals "as early as we can".

Carswell To Stay In UKIP

Fool!

Brexit Trigger Date

Theresa May is expected to trigger Brexit on 15th March.